FOMC meeting decision·active
Polymarket · Fed Decision in October?
Kalshi · Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Opinion · Fed Decision in October?
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi | Opinion | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cut 50bp or more | Yes <1¢No >99¢ $3.5M volLink ↗ | Yes 1¢No 99¢ $215.0K volLink ↗ | Yes —No — $0 volLink ↗ | Matched |
| Cut exactly 25bp | Yes <1¢No >99¢ $3.7M volLink ↗ | Yes 1¢No 99¢ $612.2K volLink ↗ | Yes —No — $0 volLink ↗ | Matched |
| No change | Yes 75¢No 26¢ $6.2M volLink ↗ | Yes 73¢No 28¢ $2.6M volLink ↗ | Yes 75¢No 26¢ $0 volLink ↗ | Matched |
| Hike exactly 25bp | Yes 25¢No 76¢ $5.7M volLink ↗ | Yes 28¢No 73¢ $2.2M volLink ↗ | Yes 25¢No 76¢ $0 volLink ↗ | Matched |
| Hike 50bp or more | Yes <1¢No >99¢ $3.2M volLink ↗ | Yes 1¢No 99¢ $761.4K volLink ↗ | Yes —No — $0 volLink ↗ | Matched |
